Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.926818 1.083509 1.252215 1.446621 1.663696 1.897868 2.168806
2025-06-01 0.654278 0.868682 1.121790 1.438891 1.821588 2.264558 2.811822
2025-06-08 0.472760 0.709038 1.012921 1.422963 1.951620 2.599801 3.443146
2025-06-15 0.378172 0.632213 0.984133 1.489228 2.175851 3.056208 4.247349
2025-06-22 0.298692 0.555170 0.936490 1.515661 2.340942 3.440858 4.979238
2025-06-29 0.227715 0.472334 0.862900 1.489745 2.423640 3.713647 5.572924
2025-07-06 0.184106 0.422518 0.828354 1.511686 2.568859 4.073106 6.294922
2025-07-13 0.149816 0.380011 0.796856 1.530961 2.706566 4.424510 7.017625
2025-07-20 0.123916 0.346491 0.773931 1.558583 2.854967 4.794861 7.779334
2025-07-27 0.101580 0.313971 0.746617 1.573657 2.981495 5.135773 8.509448
2025-08-03 0.077798 0.270612 0.690846 1.531266 3.009294 5.325979 9.023120
2025-08-10 0.062461 0.242557 0.659860 1.528266 3.099088 5.612032 9.686537
2025-08-17 0.046482 0.207301 0.608769 1.484432 3.120844 5.800480 10.223844
2025-08-24 0.036992 0.187013 0.586781 1.494293 3.236897 6.145609 11.017595
2025-08-31 0.028443 0.165492 0.557440 1.485446 3.318111 6.437509 11.739900
2025-09-07 0.024859 0.160131 0.566651 1.557296 3.550991 6.988945 12.889987
2025-09-14 0.020258 0.148194 0.556496 1.586111 3.704593 7.413293 13.850830
2025-09-21 0.014956 0.129362 0.523391 1.559872 3.750527 7.655672 14.525288
2025-09-28 0.011972 0.119343 0.512772 1.582873 3.892398 8.067312 15.486829
2025-10-05 0.009494 0.109899 0.501622 1.602962 4.028936 8.473935 16.451274
2025-10-12 0.007625 0.102328 0.494509 1.631635 4.183800 8.917752 17.489303
2025-10-19 0.005933 0.093983 0.482781 1.647276 4.312238 9.318309 18.465232
2025-10-26 0.003993 0.080488 0.449390 1.603356 4.312848 9.487225 19.053550